The envelope, the ceilings, and what the budget actually buys

A Ministry of Finance has to say what the country can afford, how it should be allocated, which projects earn their place, what the allocation will produce and what it does to the economy. Those are five different models. EDIS runs them as one chain, calibrated to your accounts, with the provenance attached to every figure.

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The workflow

From the macro frame to the delivered output

Each stage passes a governed artefact to the next. Nothing is re-keyed, and every figure carries the model, version, data, scenario and run ID that produced it.

Model chainFinance

01FINEXThe macro-fiscal frame: growth, inflation, revenue, the deficit path and the resource envelope

02MTEFThe envelope allocated to ceilings and votes across the medium term

03PIMAPS — public investmentThe pipeline appraised, ranked and selected under the capital constraint

04UCSNUnit costs and service norms pricing every sector plan on a common basis

05Budget Output EngineThe allocation converted into the physical outputs it is expected to buy

06CDCGEThe economy closed on the chosen budget: output, prices and factor incomes

07Sector modelsWhat the allocation means in health, education, energy, transport and the rest

08Poverty microsimulationWho gains and who loses, on real household data

09MELWhat was delivered against what was promised

Questions it answers

The questions a Finance Ministry brings

Envelope

What can we afford over the MTEF?

FINEX sets the resource envelope under your revenue, financing and debt assumptions, and the deficit path that goes with it.

Allocation

Which votes are over their indicative ceiling?

MTEF holds the ceilings against the envelope and shows the gap vote by vote, before the Budget Framework Paper is written.

Appraisal

Which projects should enter the budget this year?

PIMAPS appraises the pipeline on a common basis and ranks it under a hard capital constraint, using the statistic the decision actually calls for.

Cost

What does this new policy cost over three years?

UCSN prices it against governed unit costs and service norms, and the Budget Output Engine says what the money buys.

Economy

What does this budget do to growth and prices?

CDCGE closes the economy on the chosen allocation and reports the economy-wide effect, not just the fiscal arithmetic.

Distribution

Who gains and who loses?

The poverty microsimulation carries the result through real households and reports the incidence with its denominator stated.

What is included

What a Finance deployment carries

FINEX, MTEF, CDCGE, the Budget Output Engine, UCSN and PIMAPS
The sector models the ministry needs in order to cost and challenge
Climate and trade analysis
GIS for spatial allocation and siting
MEL for delivery against the plan
EDIS AI agents across the whole estate
Institutional workspaces, roles and an audit trail
Institutional APIs within the licence
Country calibration to your accounts, SAM, prices and parameters
Your own registers and survey data integrated under your governance
Staff onboarding, technical training and certification
An annual model review, and priority support with a named team

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Recommended licence

From per year

Institutional pricing is contracted and reflects model configuration, national data integration, calibration, training and support rather than a seat count. Implementation is quoted separately, and development access pricing is applied where the country’s income classification allows.

Next step

Bring the question you have to answer this budget cycle

We run EDIS against it, in your country, and show the chain, the provenance and what the models refuse to establish.

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